Your email address will not be published. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. According to tracking done by Baseball Reference he faced mostly Double A hitters. . 34. MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . Flaherty is calm. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. With a big age-28 season (5.2 WAR and counting) driven by his 31 homers, 138 OPS+, and 9 DRS, Ramirez is making notable progress toward Cooperstown, particularly given that hes already banked two seven-win seasons. This isnt your fathers Hall of Fame. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). Once Molina has been. Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. {* backButton *} Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. by Retrosheet. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. NeverSober1900. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. A frequently cited statistic for determining Hall worthiness is the average production of a Hall of Famer at that position, though my preferred approach is to consider a players worthiness not according to the average at a position among a subset of players who are sometimes transcendent and sometimes unworthy, but rather to ask, Is this guy the (fill in ordinal number of Hall of Famers at position) best (fill in position) ever? By Hybrid JAWS, Yadier Molina is the 13th greatest catcher of all-time (two of the ones ahead of him, Buster Posey and Joe Mauer, are not yet Hall-eligible), and there are sixteen catchers in the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright will make history as he will become the seventh pitcher in St. Louis Cardinals history to start a game after his 41st birthday. {* traditionalSignIn_signInButton *}, Comment and participate in our online community. But if it wasn't for . None. Your email address will not be published. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. 76-43, 3.18 ERA, 1,183 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Be the first one to comment on this story. Decade-plus Eagles writer. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. When it comes down to it, Sabathia may find himself in a logjam of other similar pitchers, and if he does get in, it may take him some time. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? Arizona Diamondbacks. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. It goes something like this . Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. Godspeed, Waino. He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. 1st stage: All good. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. The best pitcher in MLB? All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, . After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option. Sure there are. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). Let's take a look at Flaherty. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. But theres no alarm. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images), Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. And while deGromcontinued to blast 100-mph fastball after 100-mph fastball past hitterseven while missing turns here and there due to what were believed (by the Mets, at least) to be minor and disconnected injuries, he finally landed on the IL in early July with forearm inflammation. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. In that piece, I highlighted 10 position players, some of whom have gained significant ground via JAWS, others who reached major milestones or simply returned to productivity after injury-plagued stretches. Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. Rile people up.. Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. Your login session has expired. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. Wainwright was a three time All Star and two time Gold Glove winner, finishing in the top three of the NL Cy Young vote four times. Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; hes going to be 36 in a few months and hes logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. Always ranking QBs. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. An error has occurred while trying to update your details. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. And right now, he simply isnt there. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. By checking this box, I agree to the terms of service and privacy policy of Rogers Media. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries.

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